Round 9 · simulation 7 · mcts-m5.m5-kor-mcts-marginal-return

Round 2035

Round 9 of 20 in simulation 7 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Global funding seizure, and the index +0.011 to 16.68.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.68 (+0.011)
In: 16.67
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
6
In: 6
Credits carried
1,832
In: 1,721
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.2916.41+0.1262
Strategic Infrastructure16.5916.52−0.0671
National Security14.4214.43+0.0113
Human Capital18.4818.51+0.0321
Information & Influence16.9317.09+0.1621
Governance & Integrity16.1016.04−0.0643
Financial Strength16.5616.25−0.3061
Production & Innovation17.0516.97−0.0801
Trade & Investment17.5817.87+0.2821

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2035: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,079, plus 1,721 carried in. Maintenance 802. Spent 167 on actions (build 33, buy 33, partner 100). 1,832 carried over.

  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence33 credits for 1.81 levelsmcts
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence33 credits for 1.95 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerDigital & Services Trade33 credits for 1.83 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication33 credits for 1.47 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildJustice System & Fundamental Rights33 credits for 1.33 levelsmcts_fill
  • Shock: Global funding seizure S02. −8.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
The groups that moved most in 2035, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+1.87+1.950.00−0.09+0.01
Economic Leverage & Dependence+1.68+1.890.00−0.220.00
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.73+0.800.00−0.09+0.02
Digital & Services Trade+0.72+0.920.00−0.21+0.01
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+0.55+0.550.00−0.10+0.09
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.53+0.730.00−0.210.00