Round 2040
Round 14 of 20 in simulation 7 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, AI labour shock, and the index +0.021 to 17.13.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 17.13 (+0.021)
- In: 17.11
- Rank by index
- 2
- In: 2
- Domains at Tier 1
- 7
- In: 6
- Credits carried
- 1,472
- In: 1,516
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.69 | 16.61 | −0.088 | 2 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.75 | 16.82 | +0.067 | 1 |
| National Security | 14.48 | 14.49 | +0.009 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 18.94 | 18.96 | +0.024 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 17.86 | 17.76 | −0.101 | 1 |
| Governance & Integrity | 16.61 | 16.88 | +0.266 | 3 → 1 |
| Financial Strength | 16.56 | 16.44 | −0.119 | 1 |
| Production & Innovation | 17.28 | 17.45 | +0.169 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 18.78 | 18.75 | −0.036 | 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2040: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,083, plus 1,516 carried in. Maintenance 965. Spent 163 on actions (build 98, buy 65). 1,472 carried over.
- BuyIndustrial & Sectoral Base33 credits for 1.29 levelsmcts
- BuildTransparency, Oversight & Accountability33 credits for 1.27 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyResource Infrastructure33 credits for 1.50 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildPolitical Institutions & Civic Participation33 credits for 1.15 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildRegulatory Governance & Strategic Controls33 credits for 1.07 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: AI labour shock S08. −18.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 3 to 1.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industrial & Sectoral Base | +1.19 | +1.29 | 0.00 | −0.10 | 0.00 |
| Resource Infrastructure | +0.69 | +0.75 | 0.00 | −0.05 | 0.00 |
| Political Institutions & Civic Participation | +0.63 | +0.73 | 0.00 | −0.10 | +0.01 |
| Population Health | +0.51 | +0.56 | 0.00 | −0.06 | +0.01 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +0.51 | +0.62 | 0.00 | −0.12 | +0.01 |
| Public Integrity & Anti-Corruption | +0.47 | +0.51 | 0.00 | −0.05 | +0.01 |