Round 15 · simulation 7 · mcts-m5.m5-kor-mcts-marginal-return

Round 2041

Round 15 of 20 in simulation 7 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Core disaster, and the index −0.276 to 16.85.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2041 (the end of 2040) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.85 (−0.276)
In: 17.13
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
5
In: 7
Credits carried
1,238
In: 1,398
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.6116.49−0.1182
Strategic Infrastructure16.8216.49−0.3291 → 2
National Security14.4914.32−0.1703
Human Capital18.9618.73−0.2291
Information & Influence17.7617.58−0.1851
Governance & Integrity16.8816.95+0.0731
Financial Strength16.4416.07−0.3751 → 2
Production & Innovation17.4516.93−0.5131
Trade & Investment18.7518.11−0.6371

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2041: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 948, plus 1,398 carried in. Maintenance 947. Spent 163 on actions (build 33, buy 98, partner 33). 1,238 carried over.

  • PartnerCulture, Language & Education Diplomacy33 credits for 1.39 levelsmcts
  • BuildTransparency, Oversight & Accountability33 credits for 1.26 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySovereign Capital & External Financial Power33 credits for 1.50 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyResource Infrastructure33 credits for 1.43 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure33 credits for 1.09 levelsmcts_fill
  • Shock: Core disaster S07. −21.6 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 1 to 2; Financial Strength Tier 1 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2041, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Resource Infrastructure+1.03+1.470.00−0.430.00
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.990.000.00−1.00+0.01
Sovereign Capital & External Financial Power+0.97+1.500.00−0.530.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.930.000.00−0.93−0.01
Industrial & Sectoral Base−0.850.000.00−0.86+0.01
Financial System Depth & Access−0.830.000.00−0.85+0.02