Round 2019
Round 23 of 30 in simulation 4 of South Korea, tree search, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Trade bloc rupture, and the index +0.056 to 14.97.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2019 (the end of 2018) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 14.97 (+0.056)
- In: 14.91
- Rank by index
- 11
- In: 12
- Domains at Tier 1
- 3
- In: 4
- Credits carried
- 978
- In: 968
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 13.70 | 13.76 | +0.058 | 2 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 14.51 | 14.55 | +0.043 | 3 |
| National Security | 12.77 | 12.78 | +0.005 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 17.80 | 17.79 | −0.004 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 15.55 | 15.89 | +0.342 | 2 → 1 |
| Governance & Integrity | 13.99 | 14.02 | +0.027 | 6 |
| Financial Strength | 13.55 | 13.48 | −0.072 | 1 |
| Production & Innovation | 15.25 | 15.19 | −0.060 | 1 → 2 |
| Trade & Investment | 17.08 | 17.25 | +0.168 | 1 → 2 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2019: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 755, plus 968 carried in. Maintenance 631. Spent 113 on actions (buy 45, partner 68). 978 carried over.
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication23 credits for 1.26 levelsmcts
- BuyArtificial Intelligence23 credits for 1.33 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyCommunications & Digital Infrastructure23 credits for 1.09 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerCulture, Language & Education Diplomacy23 credits for 1.35 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics23 credits for 1.19 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Trade bloc rupture S01. −12.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 2 to 1; Production & Innovation Tier 1 to 2; Trade & Investment Tier 1 to 2.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence | +1.26 | +1.33 | 0.00 | −0.07 | +0.01 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +1.20 | +1.26 | 0.00 | −0.07 | +0.01 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | +0.65 | +0.69 | 0.00 | −0.07 | +0.03 |
| Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy | +0.61 | +0.68 | 0.00 | −0.07 | +0.01 |
| Communications & Digital Infrastructure | +0.54 | +0.55 | 0.00 | −0.03 | +0.03 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | +0.49 | +0.58 | 0.00 | −0.13 | +0.04 |