Round 24 · simulation 4 · mcts-m7.m7-kor-mcts-index

Round 2020

Round 24 of 30 in simulation 4 of South Korea, tree search, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Severe pandemic, and the index −0.293 to 14.67.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2020 (the end of 2019) and as it left it.

Capability index
14.67 (−0.293)
In: 14.97
Rank by index
13
In: 11
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 3
Credits carried
837
In: 929
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology13.7613.47−0.2882
Strategic Infrastructure14.5514.41−0.1433
National Security12.7812.67−0.1103
Human Capital17.7917.51−0.2871
Information & Influence15.8915.58−0.3111 → 2
Governance & Integrity14.0213.80−0.2166 → 7
Financial Strength13.4812.96−0.5111
Production & Innovation15.1914.73−0.4582
Trade & Investment17.2516.93−0.3152

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2020: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 663, plus 929 carried in. Maintenance 641. Spent 113 on actions (build 23, buy 45, partner 45). 837 carried over.

  • BuySpace Operations23 credits for 1.23 levelsmctsahead of Space Technologies by 0 per cent
  • PartnerSpace Technologies23 credits for 0.97 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyBiotechnology & Health Technologies23 credits for 1.42 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence23 credits for 1.36 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildDiaspora & Global Communities23 credits for 1.33 levelsmcts_fill
  • Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −23.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 1 to 2; Governance & Integrity Tier 6 to 7.

The groups that moved most in 2020, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−0.790.000.00−0.81+0.02
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.770.000.00−0.77+0.01
Labour & Employment−0.760.000.00−0.760.00
Trade Policy & Market Access−0.530.000.00−0.58+0.05
Investment Attraction & Projection−0.520.000.00−0.53+0.01
Biotechnology & Health Technologies+0.52+1.420.00−0.91+0.01