Round 3 · simulation 2 · stress-preview.e5-gbr-s01-greedy

Round 2029

Round 3 of 10 in simulation 2 of United Kingdom, greedy, 10 years: 5 actions, Trade bloc rupture, and the index −0.075 to 16.49.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.49 (−0.075)
In: 16.57
Rank by index
3
In: 3
Domains at Tier 1
3
In: 3
Credits carried
641
In: 422
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.1615.95−0.2203
Strategic Infrastructure16.0315.95−0.0822
National Security16.2816.19−0.0902 → 3
Human Capital16.8617.39+0.5311
Information & Influence17.1516.95−0.2032
Governance & Integrity16.4816.38−0.0971
Financial Strength17.3617.16−0.2012
Production & Innovation16.2316.10−0.1301
Trade & Investment16.5416.35−0.1853

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2029: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,094, plus 422 carried in. Maintenance 711. Spent 164 on actions (build 131, partner 33). 641 carried over.

  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills33 credits for 2.35 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Lifelong Learning & Reskilling by 7 per cent
  • BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling33 credits for 2.52 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Foundational Education by 15 per cent
  • BuildFoundational Education33 credits for 1.50 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 3 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access33 credits for 1.93 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 4 per cent
  • BuildEconomic Output & Productivity33 credits for 1.44 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Education by 5 per cent
  • Shock: Trade bloc rupture S01. −33.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. National Security Tier 2 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2029, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+1.57+1.620.00−0.050.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+1.52+1.570.00−0.050.00
Foundational Education+0.93+0.980.00−0.060.00
Digital & AI Competence+0.77+0.820.00−0.050.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.56+0.960.00−0.410.00
Economic Leverage & Dependence−0.420.000.00−0.420.00