Round 4 · simulation 2 · stress-preview.e5-gbr-s01-greedy

Round 2030

Round 4 of 10 in simulation 2 of United Kingdom, greedy, 10 years: 5 actions, and the index −0.006 to 16.48.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.48 (−0.006)
In: 16.49
Rank by index
3
In: 3
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 3
Credits carried
715
In: 609
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology15.9515.72−0.2203
Strategic Infrastructure15.9515.86−0.0822
National Security16.1916.11−0.0893
Human Capital17.3917.93+0.5321
Information & Influence16.9516.74−0.2052
Governance & Integrity16.3816.28−0.0991
Financial Strength17.1616.96−0.2002
Production & Innovation16.1016.05−0.0541 → 2
Trade & Investment16.3516.71+0.3633 → 2

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2030: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 962, plus 609 carried in. Maintenance 692. Spent 164 on actions (build 33, partner 131). 715 carried over.

  • BuildEconomic Output & Productivity33 credits for 1.41 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 1 per cent
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication33 credits for 2.02 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Global Value Chain Position by 3 per cent
  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position33 credits for 1.98 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 2 per cent
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence33 credits for 2.06 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 2 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection33 credits for 1.66 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 1 per cent

Earlier events still landing: −11.3 points this round.

Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 1 to 2; Trade & Investment Tier 3 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2030, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+1.57+1.620.00−0.050.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+1.52+1.570.00−0.050.00
Foundational Education+0.93+0.980.00−0.060.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.83+0.950.00−0.17+0.05
Digital & AI Competence+0.77+0.820.00−0.050.00
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.63+0.830.00−0.200.00