Round 2031
Round 5 of 10 in simulation 2 of United Kingdom, greedy, 10 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.005 to 16.49.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.49 (+0.004)
- In: 16.48
- Rank by index
- 3
- In: 3
- Domains at Tier 1
- 2
- In: 2
- Credits carried
- 806
- In: 679
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 15.72 | 15.50 | −0.227 | 3 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 15.86 | 15.78 | −0.086 | 2 |
| National Security | 16.11 | 16.01 | −0.091 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 17.93 | 18.20 | +0.270 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 16.74 | 16.54 | −0.203 | 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 16.28 | 16.18 | −0.099 | 1 → 4 |
| Financial Strength | 16.96 | 16.84 | −0.114 | 2 → 3 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.05 | 16.05 | −0.005 | 2 |
| Trade & Investment | 16.71 | 17.31 | +0.596 | 2 → 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2031: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 971, plus 679 carried in. Maintenance 699. Spent 144 on actions (build 29, partner 115). 806 carried over.
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication29 credits for 1.72 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 2 per cent
- BuildEconomic Output & Productivity29 credits for 1.03 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Global Value Chain Position by 1 per cent
- PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position29 credits for 1.69 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 1 per cent
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance29 credits for 0.80 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 1 per cent
- PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence29 credits for 1.76 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 1 per cent
Earlier events still landing: −11.3 points this round.
Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 1 to 4; Financial Strength Tier 2 to 3; Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 1.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +1.50 | +1.91 | 0.00 | −0.42 | +0.01 |
| Global Value Chain Position | +1.42 | +1.83 | 0.00 | −0.41 | +0.01 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +1.42 | +1.87 | 0.00 | −0.41 | −0.04 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +1.13 | +1.29 | 0.00 | −0.17 | +0.01 |
| Foundational Education | +0.93 | +0.98 | 0.00 | −0.06 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.71 | +0.82 | 0.00 | −0.05 | 0.00 |