Round 2029
Round 3 of 10 in simulation 3 of United Kingdom, greedy, 10 years: 5 actions, Breadbasket failure and Trade bloc rupture, and the index −0.251 to 16.32.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.32 (−0.251)
- In: 16.57
- Rank by index
- 4
- In: 3
- Domains at Tier 1
- 2
- In: 3
- Credits carried
- 641
- In: 422
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.16 | 15.85 | −0.319 | 3 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.03 | 15.72 | −0.310 | 2 |
| National Security | 16.28 | 16.10 | −0.185 | 2 → 3 |
| Human Capital | 16.86 | 17.25 | +0.386 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 17.15 | 16.73 | −0.420 | 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 16.48 | 16.26 | −0.214 | 1 |
| Financial Strength | 17.36 | 16.91 | −0.445 | 2 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.23 | 15.92 | −0.315 | 1 → 2 |
| Trade & Investment | 16.54 | 16.10 | −0.435 | 3 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2029: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,094, plus 422 carried in. Maintenance 711. Spent 164 on actions (build 131, partner 33). 641 carried over.
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills33 credits for 2.35 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Lifelong Learning & Reskilling by 7 per cent
- BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling33 credits for 2.52 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Foundational Education by 15 per cent
- BuildFoundational Education33 credits for 1.50 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 3 per cent
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access33 credits for 1.93 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 4 per cent
- BuildEconomic Output & Productivity33 credits for 1.44 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Education by 5 per cent
- Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −12.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
- Shock: Trade bloc rupture S01. −33.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. National Security Tier 2 to 3; Production & Innovation Tier 1 to 2.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +1.45 | +1.62 | 0.00 | −0.17 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +1.41 | +1.57 | 0.00 | −0.17 | 0.00 |
| Foundational Education | +0.81 | +0.98 | 0.00 | −0.17 | 0.00 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | −0.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.72 | 0.00 |
| Monetary & Currency Capability | −0.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.71 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.65 | +0.82 | 0.00 | −0.17 | 0.00 |