Round 2030
Round 4 of 10 in simulation 3 of United Kingdom, greedy, 10 years: 5 actions, and the index −0.009 to 16.31.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.31 (−0.009)
- In: 16.32
- Rank by index
- 4
- In: 4
- Domains at Tier 1
- 2
- In: 2
- Credits carried
- 729
- In: 609
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 15.85 | 15.63 | −0.220 | 3 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 15.72 | 15.63 | −0.082 | 2 |
| National Security | 16.10 | 16.01 | −0.090 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 17.25 | 17.78 | +0.531 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 16.73 | 16.52 | −0.208 | 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 16.26 | 16.16 | −0.099 | 1 → 4 |
| Financial Strength | 16.91 | 16.70 | −0.216 | 2 → 3 |
| Production & Innovation | 15.92 | 15.86 | −0.056 | 2 |
| Trade & Investment | 16.10 | 16.46 | +0.360 | 3 → 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2030: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 951, plus 609 carried in. Maintenance 667. Spent 164 on actions (build 33, partner 131). 729 carried over.
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication33 credits for 2.05 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
- BuildEconomic Output & Productivity33 credits for 1.42 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Global Value Chain Position by 3 per cent
- PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position33 credits for 2.00 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 2 per cent
- PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence33 credits for 2.10 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 2 per cent
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access33 credits for 1.64 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
Earlier events still landing: −11.3 points this round.
Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 1 to 4; Financial Strength Tier 2 to 3; Trade & Investment Tier 3 to 1.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +1.57 | +1.62 | 0.00 | −0.05 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +1.52 | +1.57 | 0.00 | −0.05 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +1.36 | +1.78 | 0.00 | −0.41 | −0.01 |
| Foundational Education | +0.93 | +0.98 | 0.00 | −0.06 | 0.00 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.83 | +0.95 | 0.00 | −0.17 | +0.05 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.77 | +0.82 | 0.00 | −0.05 | 0.00 |