Round 5 · simulation 3 · stress-preview.e5-gbr-s01-greedy

Round 2031

Round 5 of 10 in simulation 3 of United Kingdom, greedy, 10 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.004 to 16.31.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.31 (+0.004)
In: 16.31
Rank by index
4
In: 4
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 2
Credits carried
824
In: 693
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology15.6315.39−0.2313
Strategic Infrastructure15.6315.54−0.0942
National Security16.0115.92−0.0933
Human Capital17.7818.08+0.3021
Information & Influence16.5216.45−0.0772
Governance & Integrity16.1616.06−0.1004
Financial Strength16.7016.58−0.1203
Production & Innovation15.8615.85−0.0142
Trade & Investment16.4616.93+0.4641

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2031: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 956, plus 693 carried in. Maintenance 682. Spent 143 on actions (build 29, partner 114). 824 carried over.

  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation29 credits for 1.54 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 1 per cent
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication29 credits for 1.73 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 2 per cent
  • BuildEconomic Output & Productivity29 credits for 1.09 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 0 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection29 credits for 1.63 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 1 per cent
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance29 credits for 0.85 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Global Value Chain Position by 0 per cent

Earlier events still landing: −11.3 points this round.

The groups that moved most in 2031, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Export Capability & Sophistication+1.42+1.890.00−0.41−0.05
Economic Output & Productivity+1.14+1.310.00−0.170.00
Foundational Education+0.93+0.980.00−0.06−0.01
Digital & AI Competence+0.77+0.820.00−0.050.00
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.63+0.810.00−0.20+0.02
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.62+1.620.00−0.050.00