Round 2029
Round 3 of 10 in simulation 85 of United Kingdom, greedy, 10 years: 5 actions, Trade bloc rupture, and the index −0.016 to 16.66.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.66 (−0.016)
- In: 16.67
- Rank by index
- 2
- In: 2
- Domains at Tier 1
- 4
- In: 4
- Credits carried
- 741
- In: 480
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.30 | 16.15 | −0.149 | 3 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.17 | 16.16 | −0.007 | 2 |
| National Security | 16.28 | 16.20 | −0.088 | 2 → 3 |
| Human Capital | 16.93 | 17.50 | +0.571 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 17.21 | 17.04 | −0.169 | 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 16.63 | 16.61 | −0.021 | 1 |
| Financial Strength | 17.50 | 17.38 | −0.124 | 1 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.39 | 16.34 | −0.042 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 16.66 | 16.54 | −0.116 | 3 → 2 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2029: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,167, plus 480 carried in. Maintenance 731. Spent 175 on actions (build 140, partner 35). 741 carried over.
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills35 credits for 2.44 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Lifelong Learning & Reskilling by 7 per cent
- BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling35 credits for 2.65 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Foundational Education by 15 per cent
- BuildFoundational Education35 credits for 1.55 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 6 per cent
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access35 credits for 1.94 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 1 per cent
- BuildEconomic Output & Productivity35 credits for 1.52 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 6 per cent
- Shock: Trade bloc rupture S01. −33.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. National Security Tier 2 to 3; Trade & Investment Tier 3 to 2.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +1.63 | +1.65 | 0.00 | −0.02 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +1.60 | +1.59 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 |
| Foundational Education | +0.97 | +1.00 | 0.00 | −0.02 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.80 | +0.82 | 0.00 | −0.02 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.63 | +0.97 | 0.00 | −0.34 | 0.00 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.40 | +0.51 | 0.00 | −0.11 | +0.01 |