Round 4 · simulation 85 · stress-preview.e5-gbr-s01-greedy

Round 2030

Round 4 of 10 in simulation 85 of United Kingdom, greedy, 10 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.057 to 16.71.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.71 (+0.056)
In: 16.66
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
4
In: 4
Credits carried
846
In: 704
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.1516.00−0.1483
Strategic Infrastructure16.1616.16−0.0042
National Security16.2016.11−0.0873
Human Capital17.5018.07+0.5721
Information & Influence17.0416.87−0.1702
Governance & Integrity16.6116.59−0.0211
Financial Strength17.3817.25−0.1231
Production & Innovation16.3416.38+0.0381
Trade & Investment16.5417.00+0.4552

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2030: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,037, plus 704 carried in. Maintenance 721. Spent 175 on actions (build 35, partner 140). 846 carried over.

  • BuildEconomic Output & Productivity35 credits for 1.46 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 1 per cent
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication35 credits for 2.12 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Global Value Chain Position by 3 per cent
  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position35 credits for 2.07 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 2 per cent
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence35 credits for 2.17 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 2 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection35 credits for 1.66 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 4 per cent

Earlier events still landing: −7.3 points this round.

The groups that moved most in 2030, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+1.63+1.650.00−0.020.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+1.60+1.590.00+0.010.00
Foundational Education+0.97+1.000.00−0.020.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.94+0.990.00−0.11+0.06
Digital & AI Competence+0.80+0.820.00−0.020.00
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.72+1.080.00−0.35−0.01