Round 6 · simulation 85 · stress-preview.e5-gbr-s01-greedy

Round 2032

Round 6 of 10 in simulation 85 of United Kingdom, greedy, 10 years: 5 actions, Clean power threshold, and the index +0.186 to 16.97.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2032 (the end of 2031) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.97 (+0.186)
In: 16.78
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
5
In: 5
Credits carried
1,131
In: 912
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology15.8516.21+0.3673 → 2
Strategic Infrastructure16.1516.26+0.1102
National Security16.0216.020.0003
Human Capital18.3018.34+0.0391
Information & Influence16.7117.00+0.2922
Governance & Integrity16.5716.62+0.0511
Financial Strength17.1917.31+0.1191
Production & Innovation16.4216.56+0.1421
Trade & Investment17.8118.37+0.5541

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2032: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,137, plus 912 carried in. Maintenance 761. Spent 158 on actions (buy 95, partner 63). 1,131 carried over.

  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation32 credits for 1.54 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 4 per cent
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies32 credits for 1.79 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Artificial Intelligence by 3 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence32 credits for 1.47 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks by 1 per cent
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks32 credits for 1.50 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Communications & Digital Infrastructure by 1 per cent
  • BuyCommunications & Digital Infrastructure32 credits for 1.20 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 1 per cent
  • Upside event: Clean power threshold S15. +12.6 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 3 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2032, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.83+1.790.00+0.040.00
Artificial Intelligence+1.49+1.470.00+0.04−0.02
Economic Leverage & Dependence+1.02+0.930.00+0.04+0.05
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.94+0.900.00+0.040.00
Global Value Chain Position+0.93+0.860.00+0.04+0.03
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.83+0.780.00+0.04+0.01