Round 5 · simulation 85 · stress-preview.e5-gbr-s01-greedy

Round 2031

Round 5 of 10 in simulation 85 of United Kingdom, greedy, 10 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.066 to 16.78.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.78 (+0.066)
In: 16.71
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
5
In: 4
Credits carried
960
In: 803
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.0015.85−0.1533
Strategic Infrastructure16.1616.15−0.0062
National Security16.1116.02−0.0863
Human Capital18.0718.30+0.2311
Information & Influence16.8716.71−0.1662
Governance & Integrity16.5916.57−0.0211
Financial Strength17.2517.19−0.0651
Production & Innovation16.3816.42+0.0371
Trade & Investment17.0017.81+0.8172 → 1

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2031: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,051, plus 803 carried in. Maintenance 738. Spent 156 on actions (build 31, partner 125). 960 carried over.

  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication31 credits for 1.81 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Global Value Chain Position by 3 per cent
  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position31 credits for 1.72 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 2 per cent
  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance31 credits for 0.79 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 0 per cent
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence31 credits for 1.85 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Facilitation & Logistics by 0 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics31 credits for 1.56 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 2 per cent

Earlier events still landing: −7.3 points this round.

Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2031, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Economic Leverage & Dependence+1.67+2.010.00−0.35+0.01
Export Capability & Sophistication+1.60+1.960.00−0.35−0.01
Global Value Chain Position+1.56+1.890.00−0.35+0.01
Foundational Education+0.97+1.000.00−0.020.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.90+0.990.00−0.11+0.02
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.71+0.830.00−0.14+0.02