Round 4 · simulation 3 · cmaes-c1.c1-kor-cmaes-allocation

Round 2030

Round 4 of 20 in simulation 3 of South Korea, evolution strategy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.048 to 16.09.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.09 (+0.048)
In: 16.04
Rank by index
6
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 1
Credits carried
614
In: 539
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology15.9215.76−0.1643
Strategic Infrastructure16.2416.17−0.0712
National Security14.4114.410.0003
Human Capital17.4017.68+0.2831
Information & Influence15.5216.18+0.6602 → 1
Governance & Integrity15.8015.73−0.0745
Financial Strength16.0016.04+0.0353 → 2
Production & Innovation16.4616.29−0.1702
Trade & Investment16.6116.55−0.0682

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2030: the credits, the evolution strategy (cma-es) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 889, plus 539 carried in. Maintenance 662. Spent 153 on actions (buy 31, partner 122). 614 carried over.

  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance31 credits for 2.00 levelscmaes
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance31 credits for 0.93 levelscmaes
  • PartnerMonetary & Currency Capability31 credits for 1.11 levelscmaes
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation31 credits for 1.93 levelscmaes
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks31 credits for 1.77 levelscmaes

Earlier events still landing: −9.2 points this round.

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 2 to 1; Financial Strength Tier 3 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2030, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Alliances & Security Cooperation+2.03+2.180.00−0.150.00
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.83+2.000.00−0.16−0.01
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+1.10+1.290.00−0.190.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.90+0.990.00−0.100.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.80+0.980.00−0.180.00
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.72+0.880.00−0.160.00