Round 4 · simulation 3 · cmaes-c1.c1-kor-cmaes-rule

Round 2030

Round 4 of 20 in simulation 3 of South Korea, evolution strategy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index −0.071 to 15.93.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.

Capability index
15.93 (−0.071)
In: 16.00
Rank by index
6
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 0
Credits carried
660
In: 559
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology15.9215.76−0.1623
Strategic Infrastructure16.2516.19−0.0612
National Security14.4114.41+0.0043
Human Capital16.3616.23−0.1322
Information & Influence15.3215.14−0.1803
Governance & Integrity16.4016.73+0.3303 → 1
Financial Strength16.4516.39−0.0592 → 1
Production & Innovation16.4616.29−0.1742
Trade & Investment16.4716.27−0.2032

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2030: the credits, the evolution strategy (cma-es) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 910, plus 559 carried in. Maintenance 654. Spent 154 on actions (build 154). 660 carried over.

  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance31 credits for 0.57 levelscmaes
  • BuildPolitical Institutions & Civic Participation31 credits for 1.17 levelscmaes
  • BuildRegulatory Governance & Strategic Controls31 credits for 1.09 levelscmaes
  • BuildJustice System & Fundamental Rights31 credits for 1.12 levelscmaes
  • BuildPublic Integrity & Anti-Corruption31 credits for 1.16 levelscmaes

Earlier events still landing: −9.2 points this round.

Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 3 to 1; Financial Strength Tier 2 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2030, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Justice System & Fundamental Rights+0.86+0.940.00−0.080.00
Public Integrity & Anti-Corruption+0.64+0.710.00−0.08+0.01
Regulatory Governance & Strategic Controls+0.53+0.680.00−0.150.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.41+0.710.00−0.29−0.01
Transparency, Oversight & Accountability+0.40+0.470.00−0.080.00
Digital & Services Trade−0.360.000.00−0.360.00