Round 2029
Round 3 of 20 in simulation 3 of South Korea, evolution strategy, 20 years: 5 actions, AI labour shock, and the index −0.053 to 16.00.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.00 (−0.053)
- In: 16.06
- Rank by index
- 6
- In: 6
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 2
- Credits carried
- 588
- In: 376
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.08 | 15.92 | −0.163 | 2 → 3 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.32 | 16.25 | −0.068 | 2 |
| National Security | 14.41 | 14.41 | +0.001 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 16.49 | 16.36 | −0.133 | 1 → 2 |
| Information & Influence | 15.50 | 15.32 | −0.180 | 3 |
| Governance & Integrity | 16.19 | 16.40 | +0.215 | 3 |
| Financial Strength | 16.22 | 16.45 | +0.228 | 4 → 2 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.63 | 16.46 | −0.171 | 1 → 2 |
| Trade & Investment | 16.68 | 16.47 | −0.205 | 2 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2029: the credits, the evolution strategy (cma-es) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,029, plus 376 carried in. Maintenance 665. Spent 152 on actions (build 122, buy 30). 588 carried over.
- BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance31 credits for 0.72 levelscmaes
- BuildJustice System & Fundamental Rights31 credits for 1.16 levelscmaes
- BuildRegulatory Governance & Strategic Controls31 credits for 1.15 levelscmaes
- BuildPolitical Institutions & Civic Participation31 credits for 1.16 levelscmaes
- BuySovereign Capital & External Financial Power30 credits for 1.58 levelscmaes
- Shock: AI labour shock S08. −27.6 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 2 to 3; Human Capital Tier 1 to 2; Financial Strength Tier 4 to 2; Production & Innovation Tier 1 to 2.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sovereign Capital & External Financial Power | +1.42 | +1.58 | 0.00 | −0.16 | 0.00 |
| Justice System & Fundamental Rights | +0.64 | +0.72 | 0.00 | −0.08 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.52 | +0.82 | 0.00 | −0.29 | 0.00 |
| Public Integrity & Anti-Corruption | +0.41 | +0.48 | 0.00 | −0.08 | 0.00 |
| Transparency, Oversight & Accountability | +0.40 | +0.47 | 0.00 | −0.08 | 0.00 |
| Digital & Services Trade | −0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.36 | 0.00 |