Round 1 · simulation 1 · cmaes-dev.dev-est-cmaes-receding

Round 2027

Round 1 of 4 in simulation 1 of Estonia, evolution strategy, 4 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.043 to 11.53.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2027 (the end of 2026) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.53 (+0.044)
In: 11.49
Rank by index
32
In: 33
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
67
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology6.006.17+0.1717
Strategic Infrastructure10.8610.860.0005
National Security7.547.540.0006
Human Capital14.5614.560.0003
Information & Influence10.4810.480.0006
Governance & Integrity15.4615.460.0003
Financial Strength13.0813.080.0009
Production & Innovation12.8112.810.0005
Trade & Investment12.6012.82+0.2206

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2027: the credits, the evolution strategy (cma-es) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 390. Maintenance 265. Spent 58 on actions (buy 12, partner 46). 67 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing12 credits for 1.21 levelscmaes
  • PartnerSpace Technologies12 credits for 1.00 levelscmaes
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access12 credits for 1.17 levelscmaes
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection12 credits for 0.97 levelscmaes
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication11 credits for 0.94 levelscmaes
The groups that moved most in 2027, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.21+1.210.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.58+0.580.000.000.00
Space Technologies+0.50+0.500.000.000.00
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.49+0.490.000.000.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.47+0.470.000.000.00