Round 2 · simulation 1 · cmaes-dev.dev-est-cmaes-receding

Round 2028

Round 2 of 4 in simulation 1 of Estonia, evolution strategy, 4 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.073 to 11.60.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2028 (the end of 2027) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.60 (+0.072)
In: 11.53
Rank by index
32
In: 32
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
131
In: 64
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology6.176.38+0.2147
Strategic Infrastructure10.8610.860.0005
National Security7.547.540.0006
Human Capital14.5614.560.0003
Information & Influence10.4810.480.0006
Governance & Integrity15.4615.460.0003
Financial Strength13.0813.08+0.0049
Production & Innovation12.8112.81+0.0015
Trade & Investment12.8213.25+0.4346

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2028: the credits, the evolution strategy (cma-es) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 392, plus 64 carried in. Maintenance 267. Spent 58 on actions (buy 12, partner 46). 131 carried over.

  • PartnerSpace Technologies12 credits for 0.98 levelscmaes
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing12 credits for 1.14 levelscmaes
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access12 credits for 1.12 levelscmaes
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection12 credits for 0.94 levelscmaes
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication11 credits for 0.91 levelscmaes
The groups that moved most in 2028, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Policy & Market Access+1.15+1.150.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.14+1.140.000.000.00
Space Technologies+0.99+0.990.000.000.00
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.96+0.960.000.000.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.92+0.920.000.000.00
Sovereign Capital & External Financial Power+0.020.000.000.00+0.02