Round 2030
Round 4 of 20 in simulation 11 of Estonia, random, 20 years: 5 actions, Trade bloc rupture, and the index −0.104 to 11.22.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.22 (−0.104)
- In: 11.32
- Rank by index
- 34
- In: 34
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 289
- In: 204
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 6.01 | 5.85 | −0.157 | 7 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.48 | 10.42 | −0.061 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.43 | 7.39 | −0.045 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 14.37 | 14.34 | −0.035 | 3 |
| Information & Influence | 10.62 | 10.49 | −0.125 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.30 | 15.23 | −0.064 | 4 |
| Financial Strength | 12.72 | 12.60 | −0.116 | 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.63 | 12.50 | −0.130 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.34 | 12.13 | −0.208 | 7 → 8 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2030: the credits, the random method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 335, plus 204 carried in. Maintenance 229. Spent 20 on actions (build 3, partner 17). 289 carried over.
- PartnerInformation Environment & Strategic Communication3 credits for 0.24 levelsrandom_draw
- BuildSpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure3 credits for 0.18 levelsrandom_draw
- PartnerBusiness Dynamism & Entrepreneurship3 credits for 0.14 levelsrandom_draw
- PartnerArtificial Intelligence3 credits for 0.26 levelsrandom_draw
- PartnerFinancial Regulation & Integrity7 credits for 0.30 levelsrandom_draw
- Shock: Trade bloc rupture S01. −23.7 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 7 to 8.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | −0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.28 | −0.01 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | −0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.28 | 0.00 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | −0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.27 | 0.00 |
| Global Value Chain Position | −0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.28 | +0.01 |
| Advanced Materials & Manufacturing | −0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.26 | 0.00 |
| Industrial & Sectoral Base | −0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.23 | −0.02 |