Round 5 · simulation 11 · cycle-001.e3-est-random

Round 2031

Round 5 of 20 in simulation 11 of Estonia, random, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index −0.095 to 11.12.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.12 (−0.095)
In: 11.22
Rank by index
35
In: 34
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
304
In: 275
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology5.855.74−0.1107
Strategic Infrastructure10.4210.36−0.0615
National Security7.397.33−0.0566
Human Capital14.3414.36+0.0193
Information & Influence10.4910.37−0.1246
Governance & Integrity15.2315.17−0.0644 → 5
Financial Strength12.6012.50−0.1039
Production & Innovation12.5012.37−0.1285
Trade & Investment12.1311.91−0.2278

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2031: the credits, the random method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 291, plus 275 carried in. Maintenance 225. Spent 37 on actions (build 7, buy 30). 304 carried over.

  • BuildRobotics & Autonomous Systems7 credits for 0.32 levelsrandom_draw
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence3 credits for 0.38 levelsrandom_draw
  • BuyIntelligence & Assessment7 credits for 0.28 levelsrandom_draw
  • BuyAdvanced Education17 credits for 0.59 levelsrandom_draw
  • BuyFinancial Stability & Crisis Management3 credits for 0.11 levelsrandom_draw

Earlier events still landing: −7.9 points this round.

Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 4 to 5.

The groups that moved most in 2031, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Advanced Education+0.55+0.590.00−0.040.00
Artificial Intelligence+0.38+0.510.00−0.120.00
Economic Leverage & Dependence−0.300.000.00−0.28−0.02
Global Value Chain Position−0.280.000.00−0.28−0.01
Export Capability & Sophistication−0.280.000.00−0.280.00
Trade Policy & Market Access−0.280.000.00−0.28−0.01