Round 14 · simulation 11 · cycle-001.e3-est-random

Round 2040

Round 14 of 20 in simulation 11 of Estonia, random, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.031 to 10.68.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.

Capability index
10.68 (+0.031)
In: 10.65
Rank by index
40
In: 40
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
629
In: 598
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology5.645.70+0.0557
Strategic Infrastructure9.819.86+0.0465
National Security6.626.620.0006
Human Capital14.2314.32+0.0892
Information & Influence10.1910.20+0.0176
Governance & Integrity14.8114.81−0.0045
Financial Strength11.7011.70−0.00311
Production & Innovation11.6711.67+0.0066
Trade & Investment11.1611.24+0.0768 → 7

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2040: the credits, the random method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 301, plus 598 carried in. Maintenance 204. Spent 66 on actions (build 36, buy 30). 629 carried over.

  • BuyTransport Infrastructure15 credits for 0.80 levelsrandom_draw
  • BuildFoundational Education6 credits for 0.30 levelsrandom_draw
  • BuildJoint Command, Projection & Sustainment15 credits for 0.60 levelsrandom_draw
  • BuildPopulation Health15 credits for 0.69 levelsrandom_draw
  • BuyLifelong Learning & Reskilling15 credits for 0.63 levelsrandom_draw

Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 8 to 7.

The groups that moved most in 2040, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.62+0.630.000.00−0.01
Artificial Intelligence+0.550.000.000.00+0.55
Digital & Services Trade+0.42+0.430.000.00−0.01
Transport Infrastructure+0.37+0.400.000.00−0.03
Financial Infrastructure+0.21+0.230.000.00−0.02
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.190.000.000.00+0.19