Round 15 · simulation 11 · cycle-001.e3-est-random

Round 2041

Round 15 of 20 in simulation 11 of Estonia, random, 20 years: 5 actions, Hybrid coercion, and the index −0.376 to 10.30.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2041 (the end of 2040) and as it left it.

Capability index
10.30 (−0.376)
In: 10.68
Rank by index
44
In: 40
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
660
In: 597
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology5.705.39−0.3137
Strategic Infrastructure9.869.24−0.6115 → 6
National Security6.625.86−0.7636 → 7
Human Capital14.3214.35+0.0232
Information & Influence10.209.40−0.7996 → 7
Governance & Integrity14.8114.41−0.3955
Financial Strength11.7011.70−0.00311
Production & Innovation11.6711.43−0.2446
Trade & Investment11.2410.96−0.2847

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2041: the credits, the random method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 301, plus 597 carried in. Maintenance 205. Spent 33 on actions (build 18, buy 9, partner 6). 660 carried over.

  • BuyInvestment Attraction & Projection6 credits for 0.35 levelsrandom_draw
  • BuildLabour & Employment15 credits for 0.70 levelsrandom_draw
  • PartnerResource Infrastructure6 credits for 0.40 levelsrandom_draw
  • BuySpace Technologies3 credits for 0.24 levelsrandom_draw
  • BuildBusiness Dynamism & Entrepreneurship3 credits for 0.13 levelsrandom_draw
  • Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −31.2 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 5 to 6; National Security Tier 6 to 7; Information & Influence Tier 6 to 7.

The groups that moved most in 2041, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Maritime Power−1.360.000.00−1.35−0.01
Intelligence & Assessment−1.250.000.00−1.25−0.01
Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations−1.230.000.00−1.230.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−1.210.000.00−1.21−0.01
Alliances & Security Cooperation−1.170.000.00−1.17−0.01
Energy Infrastructure−1.170.000.00−1.160.00