Round 16 · simulation 11 · cycle-001.e3-est-random

Round 2042

Round 16 of 20 in simulation 11 of Estonia, random, 20 years: 5 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.296 to 10.01.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.

Capability index
10.01 (−0.296)
In: 10.30
Rank by index
46
In: 44
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
702
In: 627
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology5.395.27−0.1207
Strategic Infrastructure9.248.84−0.4006
National Security5.865.71−0.1487
Human Capital14.3514.13−0.2132 → 3
Information & Influence9.409.01−0.4007
Governance & Integrity14.4114.21−0.2045 → 6
Financial Strength11.7011.24−0.45611 → 12
Production & Innovation11.4311.15−0.2736
Trade & Investment10.9610.51−0.4507 → 8

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2042: the credits, the random method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 298, plus 627 carried in. Maintenance 190. Spent 33 on actions (build 6, buy 6, partner 21). 702 carried over.

  • BuildArtificial Intelligence6 credits for 0.31 levelsrandom_draw
  • PartnerDigital & AI Competence3 credits for 0.14 levelsrandom_draw
  • PartnerAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing15 credits for 1.33 levelsrandom_draw
  • BuyAdvanced Education6 credits for 0.21 levelsrandom_draw
  • PartnerEconomic Output & Productivity3 credits for 0.20 levelsrandom_draw
  • Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −22.5 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 2 to 3; Governance & Integrity Tier 5 to 6; Financial Strength Tier 11 to 12; Trade & Investment Tier 7 to 8.

The groups that moved most in 2042, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.770.000.00−0.78+0.01
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks−0.700.000.00−0.700.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.700.000.00−0.65−0.05
Energy Infrastructure−0.660.000.00−0.660.00
Monetary & Currency Capability−0.650.000.00−0.650.00
Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure−0.630.000.00−0.63−0.01