Round 2027
Round 1 of 20 in simulation 22 of Estonia, random, 20 years: 5 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.312 to 11.18.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2027 (the end of 2026) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.18 (−0.311)
- In: 11.49
- Rank by index
- 35
- In: 33
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 46
- In: 0
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 6.00 | 5.79 | −0.206 | 7 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.86 | 10.49 | −0.369 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.54 | 7.40 | −0.145 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 14.56 | 14.32 | −0.240 | 3 |
| Information & Influence | 10.48 | 10.07 | −0.415 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.46 | 15.27 | −0.189 | 3 → 4 |
| Financial Strength | 13.08 | 12.62 | −0.460 | 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.81 | 12.49 | −0.319 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.60 | 12.13 | −0.461 | 6 → 8 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2027: the credits, the random method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 347. Maintenance 236. Spent 66 on actions (build 7, buy 24, partner 35). 46 carried over.
- PartnerPublic Integrity & Anti-Corruption17 credits for 0.49 levelsrandom_draw
- BuildIndustrial & Sectoral Base7 credits for 0.34 levelsrandom_draw
- BuyAir Power7 credits for 0.55 levelsrandom_draw
- BuyResource Infrastructure17 credits for 1.14 levelsrandom_draw
- PartnerDigital & AI Competence17 credits for 0.79 levelsrandom_draw
- Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −23.2 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 3 to 4; Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 8.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.80 | 0.00 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | −0.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.71 | 0.00 |
| Monetary & Currency Capability | −0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.68 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.68 | 0.00 |
| Energy Infrastructure | −0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.67 | 0.00 |
| Agriculture & Food Infrastructure | −0.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.65 | 0.00 |