Round 2 · simulation 22 · cycle-001.e3-est-random

Round 2028

Round 2 of 20 in simulation 22 of Estonia, random, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.018 to 11.19.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2028 (the end of 2027) and as it left it.

Capability index: 11.19 (+0.018); In: 11.18
Rank by index: 34; In: 35
Domains at Tier 1: 0; In: 0
Credits carried: 115; In: 43

Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
Domain	In	Out	Change	Tier
Critical Technology	5.79	5.79	0.000	7
Strategic Infrastructure	10.49	10.57	+0.078	5
National Security	7.40	7.44	+0.042	6
Human Capital	14.32	14.35	+0.030	3 → 2
Information & Influence	10.07	10.06	−0.003	6
Governance & Integrity	15.27	15.31	+0.044	4
Financial Strength	12.62	12.60	−0.022	9
Production & Innovation	12.49	12.50	+0.010	5
Trade & Investment	12.13	12.12	−0.015	8

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2028: the credits, the random method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 333, plus 43 carried in. Maintenance 224. Spent 38 on actions (build 7, partner 31). 115 carried over.

PartnerRegulatory Governance & Strategic Controls17 credits for 0.63 levelsrandom_draw
PartnerMaritime Power7 credits for 0.43 levelsrandom_draw
PartnerFinancial Infrastructure7 credits for 0.41 levelsrandom_draw
BuildTransport Infrastructure4 credits for 0.15 levelsrandom_draw
BuildAdvanced Manufacturing4 credits for 0.14 levelsrandom_draw

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 3 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2028, and what moved them
Moved most	Change	Invested
Resource Infrastructure	+0.57	+0.57
Air Power	+0.28	+0.28
Digital & AI Competence	+0.27	+0.27
Regulatory Governance & Strategic Controls	+0.21	+0.21
Public Integrity & Anti-Corruption	+0.16	+0.16
Maritime Power	+0.14	+0.14