Round 4 · simulation 22 · cycle-001.e3-est-random

Round 2030

Round 4 of 20 in simulation 22 of Estonia, random, 20 years: 5 actions, Market access opening, and the index +0.083 to 11.31.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.31 (+0.084)
In: 11.23
Rank by index
34
In: 34
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
194
In: 146
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology5.815.86+0.0527
Strategic Infrastructure10.5810.67+0.0855
National Security7.457.49+0.0406
Human Capital14.4114.51+0.1032
Information & Influence10.0610.09+0.0286
Governance & Integrity15.3615.46+0.1054
Financial Strength12.8212.93+0.1119
Production & Innovation12.5012.56+0.0565
Trade & Investment12.1012.27+0.1698 → 7

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2030: the credits, the random method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 333, plus 146 carried in. Maintenance 226. Spent 60 on actions (build 23, partner 37). 194 carried over.

  • PartnerCyber & Electromagnetic Operations17 credits for 0.78 levelsrandom_draw
  • PartnerForce Generation & Mobilisation3 credits for 0.12 levelsrandom_draw
  • BuildForce Generation & Mobilisation7 credits for 0.20 levelsrandom_draw
  • BuildGlobal Value Chain Position17 credits for 0.96 levelsrandom_draw
  • PartnerFinancial Stability & Crisis Management17 credits for 0.77 levelsrandom_draw
  • Upside event: Market access opening S12. +12.0 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 8 to 7.

The groups that moved most in 2030, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Global Value Chain Position+0.54+0.480.00+0.07−0.01
Financial Stability & Crisis Management+0.42+0.380.00+0.030.00
Regulatory Governance & Strategic Controls+0.34+0.210.00+0.130.00
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.27+0.240.00+0.030.00
Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations+0.25+0.260.000.00−0.01
Early Childhood Development+0.25+0.200.00+0.07−0.02