Round 5 · simulation 22 · cycle-001.e3-est-random

Round 2031

Round 5 of 20 in simulation 22 of Estonia, random, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.107 to 11.42.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.42 (+0.106)
In: 11.31
Rank by index
34
In: 34
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
267
In: 184
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology5.865.89+0.0297
Strategic Infrastructure10.6710.74+0.0725
National Security7.497.51+0.0266
Human Capital14.5114.61+0.1012
Information & Influence10.0910.12+0.0356
Governance & Integrity15.4615.57+0.1094 → 3
Financial Strength12.9313.23+0.3069 → 8
Production & Innovation12.5612.64+0.0845
Trade & Investment12.2712.47+0.1977 → 6

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2031: the credits, the random method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 345, plus 184 carried in. Maintenance 229. Spent 33 on actions (build 3, buy 30). 267 carried over.

  • BuyTrade Facilitation & Logistics3 credits for 0.17 levelsrandom_draw
  • BuyInnovation & Commercialisation3 credits for 0.17 levelsrandom_draw
  • BuildAlliances & Security Cooperation3 credits for 0.14 levelsrandom_draw
  • BuySovereign Capital & External Financial Power17 credits for 1.16 levelsrandom_draw
  • BuyRegulatory Governance & Strategic Controls7 credits for 0.23 levelsrandom_draw

Earlier events still landing: +4.0 points this round.

Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 4 to 3; Financial Strength Tier 9 to 8; Trade & Investment Tier 7 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2031, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sovereign Capital & External Financial Power+1.20+1.160.00+0.03+0.01
Global Value Chain Position+0.55+0.480.00+0.070.00
Financial Stability & Crisis Management+0.42+0.380.00+0.030.00
Regulatory Governance & Strategic Controls+0.36+0.230.00+0.130.00
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.29+0.170.00+0.13−0.01
Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations+0.25+0.260.000.00−0.01