Round 3 · simulation 18 · cycle-001.e3-gbr-greedy-marginal

Round 2029

Round 3 of 20 in simulation 18 of United Kingdom, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.213 to 16.83.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.83 (+0.213)
In: 16.62
Rank by index
2
In: 3
Domains at Tier 1
4
In: 3
Credits carried
313
In: 191
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.1716.18+0.0073
Strategic Infrastructure16.1116.19+0.0822
National Security16.3516.42+0.0702
Human Capital17.2018.06+0.8591
Information & Influence17.2317.32+0.0852
Governance & Integrity16.5616.65+0.0871
Financial Strength17.3917.42+0.0332 → 1
Production & Innovation15.9516.42+0.4671
Trade & Investment16.5716.80+0.2323 → 2

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2029: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 981, plus 191 carried in. Maintenance 621. Spent 238 on actions (build 143, buy 48, partner 48). 313 carried over.

  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills48 credits for 2.81 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Lifelong Learning & Reskilling by 8 per cent
  • BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling48 credits for 2.98 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Foundational Education by 12 per cent
  • BuildFoundational Education48 credits for 1.87 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 3 per cent
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion48 credits for 3.05 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 3 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access48 credits for 2.79 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 2 per cent

Earlier events still landing: +3.7 points this round.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 2 to 1; Trade & Investment Tier 3 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2029, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+3.08+3.050.00+0.030.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+2.18+2.150.00+0.030.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+2.13+2.090.00+0.030.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+1.43+1.400.00+0.030.00
Foundational Education+1.36+1.330.00+0.030.00
Digital & AI Competence+1.17+1.140.00+0.030.00