Round 2 · simulation 10 · cycle-001.e3-ken-greedy-marginal-10y

Round 2028

Round 2 of 10 in simulation 10 of Kenya, greedy, 10 years: 4 actions, and the index +0.024 to 6.19.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2028 (the end of 2027) and as it left it.

Capability index
6.19 (+0.024)
In: 6.17
Rank by index
94
In: 94
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
1
In: 2
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.452.56+0.10311
Strategic Infrastructure6.556.550.0008
National Security4.054.050.0009
Human Capital6.796.83+0.04013
Information & Influence7.087.16+0.07610
Governance & Integrity8.168.16−0.00516
Financial Strength7.077.00−0.06522
Production & Innovation6.546.66+0.11917
Trade & Investment6.836.78−0.05013

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2028: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 116, plus 2 carried in. Maintenance 89. Spent 29 on actions (build 7, buy 14, partner 7). 1 carried over.

  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills7 credits for 0.90 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 1 per cent
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies7 credits for 1.03 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 3 per cent
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion7 credits for 0.94 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 0 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation7 credits for 1.05 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 1 per cent
The groups that moved most in 2028, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.03+1.030.000.000.00
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+0.94+0.940.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.53+0.530.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.36+0.360.000.000.00
Monetary & Currency Capability−0.150.000.000.00−0.15
Global Value Chain Position−0.140.000.000.00−0.14