Round 3 · simulation 10 · cycle-001.e3-ken-greedy-marginal-10y

Round 2029

Round 3 of 10 in simulation 10 of Kenya, greedy, 10 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.017 to 6.21.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.

Capability index
6.21 (+0.018)
In: 6.19
Rank by index
94
In: 94
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
1
In: 1
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.562.69+0.13611
Strategic Infrastructure6.556.49−0.0588 → 9
National Security4.054.04−0.0179
Human Capital6.836.88+0.04813
Information & Influence7.167.28+0.11610
Governance & Integrity8.168.15−0.00516
Financial Strength7.006.98−0.02222
Production & Innovation6.666.61−0.05317
Trade & Investment6.786.79+0.01113

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2029: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 115, plus 1 carried in. Maintenance 89. Spent 26 on actions (build 6, buy 14, partner 6). 1 carried over.

  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills6 credits for 0.72 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 1 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access6 credits for 0.83 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 2 per cent
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies6 credits for 0.80 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Artificial Intelligence by 0 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence6 credits for 0.78 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance2 credits for 0.30 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 0 per cent

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 8 to 9.

The groups that moved most in 2029, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.79+0.800.000.000.00
Artificial Intelligence+0.64+0.780.000.00−0.14
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.50+0.500.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.50+0.530.000.00−0.03
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.39+0.420.000.00−0.03
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+0.23+0.300.000.00−0.08