Round 2040
Round 14 of 30 in simulation 49 of Kenya, greedy, 30 years: 5 actions, Water-efficient food leap, and the index +0.055 to 5.29.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 5.29 (+0.055)
- In: 5.24
- Rank by index
- 112
- In: 113
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 1
- In: 1
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 1.48 | 1.58 | +0.102 | 13 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 5.64 | 5.70 | +0.057 | 10 → 9 |
| National Security | 3.15 | 3.14 | −0.002 | 10 |
| Human Capital | 7.62 | 7.64 | +0.018 | 11 |
| Information & Influence | 6.88 | 6.89 | +0.013 | 10 |
| Governance & Integrity | 7.23 | 7.26 | +0.033 | 17 |
| Financial Strength | 5.07 | 5.14 | +0.070 | 30 |
| Production & Innovation | 4.96 | 5.06 | +0.099 | 18 |
| Trade & Investment | 5.13 | 5.24 | +0.107 | 16 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2040: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 87, plus 1 carried in. Maintenance 68. Spent 19 on actions (buy 8, partner 10). 1 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance4 credits for 0.29 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 4 per cent
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity4 credits for 0.38 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication4 credits for 0.56 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Artificial Intelligence by 0 per cent
- BuyArtificial Intelligence4 credits for 0.65 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 0 per cent
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access2 credits for 0.25 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 0 per cent
- Upside event: Water-efficient food leap S16. +12.6 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 10 to 9.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence | +0.68 | +0.65 | 0.00 | +0.04 | −0.01 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.41 | +0.38 | 0.00 | +0.04 | −0.01 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.32 | +0.29 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.01 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.31 | +0.28 | 0.00 | +0.04 | −0.01 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.27 | +0.25 | 0.00 | +0.04 | −0.01 |
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.02 |