Round 15 · simulation 49 · cycle-001.e3-ken-greedy-marginal-30y

Round 2041

Round 15 of 30 in simulation 49 of Kenya, greedy, 30 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.065 to 5.36.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2041 (the end of 2040) and as it left it.

Capability index
5.36 (+0.065)
In: 5.29
Rank by index
112
In: 112
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
4
In: 1
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology1.581.68+0.10213 → 12
Strategic Infrastructure5.705.76+0.0599
National Security3.143.14−0.00110
Human Capital7.647.66+0.02011
Information & Influence6.896.96+0.07310
Governance & Integrity7.267.29+0.03517
Financial Strength5.145.22+0.07930
Production & Innovation5.065.11+0.04718
Trade & Investment5.245.41+0.17216

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2041: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 95, plus 1 carried in. Maintenance 70. Spent 22 on actions (buy 4, partner 18). 4 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance4 credits for 0.30 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 2 per cent
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies4 credits for 0.66 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 1 per cent
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication4 credits for 0.57 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 0 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation4 credits for 0.67 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 0 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection4 credits for 0.55 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent

Earlier events still landing: +2.5 points this round.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 13 to 12.

The groups that moved most in 2041, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.69+0.660.00+0.040.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.59+0.560.00+0.04−0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.36+0.300.00+0.02+0.05
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.35+0.340.00+0.02−0.01
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.31+0.270.00+0.040.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.16+0.130.00+0.04−0.01