Round 5 · simulation 77 · cycle-001.e3-ken-greedy-marginal-30y

Round 2031

Round 5 of 30 in simulation 77 of Kenya, greedy, 30 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.047 to 7.04.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.04 (+0.047)
In: 7.00
Rank by index
80
In: 80
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
3
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.552.63+0.08112
Strategic Infrastructure7.747.73−0.0078
National Security4.454.45−0.0029
Human Capital8.098.31+0.22112
Information & Influence8.178.170.0009
Governance & Integrity8.728.71−0.00215
Financial Strength8.208.20−0.00918
Production & Innovation7.327.42+0.10315
Trade & Investment7.757.79+0.04013

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2031: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 138. Maintenance 104. Spent 31 on actions (build 12, buy 12, partner 6). 3 carried over.

  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills6 credits for 0.69 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 9 per cent
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies6 credits for 0.90 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication6 credits for 0.74 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 0 per cent
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion6 credits for 0.77 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Digital & AI Competence by 0 per cent
  • BuildDigital & AI Competence6 credits for 0.61 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 1 per cent
The groups that moved most in 2031, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.90+0.900.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.81+0.810.000.000.00
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+0.77+0.770.000.000.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.65+0.650.000.000.00
Digital & AI Competence+0.53+0.530.000.000.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.35+0.370.000.00−0.02