Round 6 · simulation 77 · cycle-001.e3-ken-greedy-marginal-30y

Round 2032

Round 6 of 30 in simulation 77 of Kenya, greedy, 30 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.057 to 7.10.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2032 (the end of 2031) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.10 (+0.057)
In: 7.04
Rank by index
80
In: 80
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
1
In: 3
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.632.62−0.00912
Strategic Infrastructure7.737.72−0.0118
National Security4.454.45−0.0059
Human Capital8.318.55+0.23912 → 10
Information & Influence8.178.30+0.1369 → 8
Governance & Integrity8.718.71−0.00215
Financial Strength8.208.19−0.00118
Production & Innovation7.427.41−0.00415
Trade & Investment7.797.95+0.16813

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2032: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 138, plus 3 carried in. Maintenance 105. Spent 35 on actions (build 7, buy 14, partner 14). 1 carried over.

  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills7 credits for 0.73 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 5 per cent
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance7 credits for 0.82 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 0 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access7 credits for 0.95 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication7 credits for 0.82 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 1 per cent
  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation7 credits for 0.54 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 1 per cent

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 12 to 10; Information & Influence Tier 9 to 8.

The groups that moved most in 2032, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+0.81+0.820.000.00−0.01
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.78+0.780.000.000.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.76+0.780.000.00−0.02
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+0.54+0.540.000.000.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.48+0.480.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.47+0.470.000.00−0.01