Round 2 · simulation 21 · cycle-001.e3-ken-greedy-marginal

Round 2028

Round 2 of 20 in simulation 21 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Global funding seizure, and the index −0.375 to 6.85.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2028 (the end of 2027) and as it left it.

Capability index
6.85 (−0.375)
In: 7.22
Rank by index
83
In: 78
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
7
In: 2
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.022.74−0.28312
Strategic Infrastructure7.897.62−0.2727 → 8
National Security4.604.600.0009
Human Capital7.747.65−0.08912
Information & Influence8.378.24−0.1268 → 9
Governance & Integrity8.918.60−0.30914 → 15
Financial Strength8.587.57−1.01217 → 20
Production & Innovation7.587.02−0.55714 → 15
Trade & Investment8.307.58−0.72612 → 13

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2028: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 152, plus 2 carried in. Maintenance 111. Spent 36 on actions (build 22, buy 14). 7 carried over.

  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills7 credits for 0.88 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Lifelong Learning & Reskilling by 12 per cent
  • BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling7 credits for 0.85 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Digital & AI Competence by 1 per cent
  • BuildDigital & AI Competence7 credits for 0.75 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 0 per cent
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion7 credits for 0.91 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 1 per cent
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance7 credits for 0.87 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 0 per cent
  • Shock: Global funding seizure S02. −28.1 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 7 to 8; Information & Influence Tier 8 to 9; Governance & Integrity Tier 14 to 15; Financial Strength Tier 17 to 20; Production & Innovation Tier 14 to 15; Trade & Investment Tier 12 to 13.

The groups that moved most in 2028, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Investment Attraction & Projection−1.280.000.00−1.280.00
Financial Stability & Crisis Management−1.120.000.00−1.120.00
Financial Regulation & Integrity−1.100.000.00−1.100.00
Financial System Depth & Access−1.100.000.00−1.100.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−1.090.000.00−1.100.00
Monetary & Currency Capability−1.080.000.00−1.090.00