Round 29 · simulation 4 · cycle-002.e4-bra

Round 2025

Round 29 of 30 in simulation 4 of Brazil, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 3 actions, and the index +0.026 to 11.75.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2025 (the end of 2024) and as it left it.

Capability index: 11.75 (+0.026); In: 11.73
Rank by index: 30; In: 30
Domains at Tier 1: 3; In: 3
Credits carried: 0; In: 0

Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
Domain	In	Out	Change	Tier
Critical Technology	9.04	9.10	+0.056	4 → 3
Strategic Infrastructure	15.01	15.03	+0.015	1
National Security	8.91	8.89	−0.016	5
Human Capital	14.48	14.54	+0.055	1
Information & Influence	11.76	11.76	+0.005	1
Governance & Integrity	10.84	10.84	+0.003	7
Financial Strength	12.21	12.21	−0.002	6
Production & Innovation	12.42	12.54	+0.120	3 → 2
Trade & Investment	10.89	10.89	+0.001	8

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2025: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 364. Maintenance 323. Spent 41 on actions (build 41). 0 carried over. 2 actions could not be paid for.

BuildIndustrial & Sectoral Base18 credits for 0.73 levelsscripted_history
BuildEnergy Technologies18 credits for 0.54 levelsscripted_history
BuildEnergy Infrastructure5 credits for 0.08 levelsscripted_history

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 4 to 3; Production & Innovation Tier 3 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2025, and what moved them
Moved most	Change	Invested	Graph
Industrial & Sectoral Base	+0.77	+0.77	0.00
Energy Technologies	+0.56	+0.55	0.00
Early Childhood Development	+0.29	+0.31	−0.02
Energy Infrastructure	+0.17	+0.19	−0.02
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation	+0.13	0.00	+0.13
Transport Infrastructure	+0.11	+0.13	−0.02