Round 28 · simulation 9 · cycle-002.e4-bra

Round 2024

Round 28 of 30 in simulation 9 of Brazil, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 4 actions, and the index +0.026 to 11.74.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2024 (the end of 2023) and as it left it.

Capability index: 11.74 (+0.026); In: 11.71
Rank by index: 30; In: 30
Domains at Tier 1: 3; In: 3
Credits carried: 0; In: 23

Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
Domain	In	Out	Change	Tier
Critical Technology	9.01	9.05	+0.035	4 → 3
Strategic Infrastructure	14.98	15.02	+0.035	1
National Security	8.95	8.94	−0.015	5
Human Capital	14.33	14.41	+0.086	1
Information & Influence	11.82	11.83	+0.010	1
Governance & Integrity	10.84	10.84	+0.003	7
Financial Strength	12.22	12.22	−0.001	6
Production & Innovation	12.36	12.44	+0.080	3
Trade & Investment	10.89	10.89	+0.002	8

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2024: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 366, plus 23 carried in. Maintenance 321. Spent 68 on actions (build 68). 0 carried over. 1 action could not be paid for.

BuildIndustrial & Sectoral Base18 credits for 0.78 levelsscripted_history
BuildEnergy Technologies18 credits for 0.56 levelsscripted_history
BuildEnergy Infrastructure18 credits for 0.33 levelsscripted_history
BuildEarly Childhood Development13 credits for 0.86 levelsscripted_history

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 4 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2024, and what moved them
Moved most	Change	Invested	Graph
Industrial & Sectoral Base	+0.53	+0.53	+0.01
Energy Technologies	+0.37	+0.37	0.00
Early Childhood Development	+0.34	+0.35	−0.01
Digital & AI Competence	+0.22	+0.16	+0.06
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation	+0.18	0.00	+0.18
Energy Infrastructure	+0.14	+0.17	−0.02