Round 2015
Round 19 of 30 in simulation 2 of Botswana, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 7 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.143 to 8.96.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2015 (the end of 2014) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 8.96 (−0.143)
- In: 9.11
- Rank by index
- 59
- In: 57
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 345
- In: 315
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 1.83 | 1.72 | −0.116 | 13 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 11.12 | 10.95 | −0.166 | 4 |
| National Security | 5.71 | 5.61 | −0.097 | 8 |
| Human Capital | 10.78 | 10.75 | −0.037 | 5 |
| Information & Influence | 7.98 | 7.75 | −0.226 | 8 |
| Governance & Integrity | 13.74 | 13.63 | −0.112 | 4 |
| Financial Strength | 11.93 | 11.69 | −0.247 | 11 |
| Production & Innovation | 9.28 | 9.18 | −0.096 | 12 |
| Trade & Investment | 9.59 | 9.39 | −0.192 | 10 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2015: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 218, plus 315 carried in. Maintenance 157. Spent 30 on actions (build 17, partner 13). 345 carried over.
- PartnerStructural Transformation & Complexity4 credits for 0.26 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position4 credits for 0.38 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerAdvanced Manufacturing4 credits for 0.23 levelsscripted_history
- BuildCommunications & Digital Infrastructure4 credits for 0.22 levelsscripted_history
- BuildAdvanced Education4 credits for 0.33 levelsscripted_history
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills4 credits for 0.55 levelsscripted_history
- BuildTechnology Adoption & Diffusion4 credits for 0.28 levelsscripted_history
- Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −12.6 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.46 | +0.57 | 0.00 | −0.12 | +0.01 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.44 | +0.01 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | −0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.38 | 0.00 |
| Monetary & Currency Capability | −0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.37 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.36 | +0.01 |
| Agriculture & Food Infrastructure | −0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.36 | +0.01 |