Round 2016
Round 20 of 30 in simulation 2 of Botswana, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 4 actions, Market access opening, and the index +0.079 to 9.04.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2016 (the end of 2015) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 9.04 (+0.079)
- In: 8.96
- Rank by index
- 57
- In: 59
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 370
- In: 328
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 1.72 | 1.75 | +0.033 | 13 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.95 | 11.07 | +0.116 | 4 |
| National Security | 5.61 | 5.61 | 0.000 | 8 |
| Human Capital | 10.75 | 10.92 | +0.176 | 5 |
| Information & Influence | 7.75 | 7.78 | +0.030 | 8 |
| Governance & Integrity | 13.63 | 13.70 | +0.078 | 4 |
| Financial Strength | 11.69 | 11.71 | +0.020 | 11 |
| Production & Innovation | 9.18 | 9.31 | +0.131 | 12 → 11 |
| Trade & Investment | 9.39 | 9.52 | +0.127 | 10 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2016: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 213, plus 328 carried in. Maintenance 153. Spent 17 on actions (build 17). 370 carried over.
- BuildCommunications & Digital Infrastructure4 credits for 0.22 levelsscripted_history
- BuildAdvanced Education4 credits for 0.32 levelsscripted_history
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills4 credits for 0.53 levelsscripted_history
- BuildTechnology Adoption & Diffusion4 credits for 0.28 levelsscripted_history
- Upside event: Market access opening S12. +11.6 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 12 to 11.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.70 | +0.56 | 0.00 | +0.13 | +0.01 |
| Advanced Education | +0.42 | +0.33 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.02 |
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +0.35 | +0.28 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.01 |
| Communications & Digital Infrastructure | +0.29 | +0.22 | 0.00 | +0.06 | 0.00 |
| Global Value Chain Position | +0.25 | +0.19 | 0.00 | +0.06 | −0.01 |
| Advanced Manufacturing | +0.23 | +0.16 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.01 |