Round 21 · simulation 2 · cycle-002.e4-bwa

Round 2017

Round 21 of 30 in simulation 2 of Botswana, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 4 actions, and the index +0.071 to 9.11.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2017 (the end of 2016) and as it left it.

Capability index
9.11 (+0.072)
In: 9.04
Rank by index
56
In: 57
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
400
In: 352
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology1.751.78+0.02913
Strategic Infrastructure11.0711.17+0.1024
National Security5.615.61−0.0028
Human Capital10.9211.09+0.1725
Information & Influence7.787.81+0.0298
Governance & Integrity13.7013.78+0.0784
Financial Strength11.7111.74+0.03011
Production & Innovation9.319.42+0.10711 → 10
Trade & Investment9.529.62+0.09910

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2017: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 220, plus 352 carried in. Maintenance 155. Spent 17 on actions (build 17). 400 carried over.

  • BuildCommunications & Digital Infrastructure4 credits for 0.21 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildAdvanced Education4 credits for 0.30 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills4 credits for 0.50 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTechnology Adoption & Diffusion4 credits for 0.27 levelsscripted_history

Earlier events still landing: +3.9 points this round.

Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 11 to 10.

The groups that moved most in 2017, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.68+0.540.00+0.13+0.01
Advanced Education+0.40+0.320.00+0.06+0.02
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+0.34+0.270.00+0.06+0.01
Communications & Digital Infrastructure+0.28+0.220.00+0.060.00
Advanced Manufacturing+0.14+0.080.00+0.060.00
Digital & Services Trade+0.130.000.00+0.13+0.01