Round 26 · simulation 29 · cycle-002.e4-bwa

Round 2022

Round 26 of 30 in simulation 29 of Botswana, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 3 actions, and the index +0.011 to 8.80.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2022 (the end of 2021) and as it left it.

Capability index: 8.80 (+0.011); In: 8.79
Rank by index: 62; In: 62
Domains at Tier 1: 0; In: 0
Credits carried: 491; In: 446

Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
Domain	In	Out	Change	Tier
Critical Technology	1.28	1.27	−0.009	14
Strategic Infrastructure	11.10	11.11	+0.004	4
National Security	5.32	5.32	−0.002	8
Human Capital	11.19	11.26	+0.069	5
Information & Influence	7.27	7.27	−0.001	10
Governance & Integrity	13.56	13.56	−0.003	5
Financial Strength	11.21	11.23	+0.023	11
Production & Innovation	9.14	9.17	+0.036	10
Trade & Investment	9.06	9.04	−0.015	10

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2022: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 206, plus 446 carried in. Maintenance 148. Spent 12 on actions (build 12). 491 carried over.

BuildHealth System Capability4 credits for 0.16 levelsscripted_history
BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance4 credits for 0.16 levelsscripted_history
BuildEconomic Output & Productivity4 credits for 0.23 levelsscripted_history

The groups that moved most in 2022, and what moved them
Moved most	Change	Invested	Graph
Technical & Vocational Skills	+0.28	+0.28	0.00
Economic Output & Productivity	+0.22	+0.24	−0.02
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance	+0.18	+0.16	+0.02
Advanced Education	+0.17	+0.18	0.00
Communications & Digital Infrastructure	+0.10	+0.10	0.00
Health System Capability	+0.10	+0.10	0.00