Round 27 · simulation 29 · cycle-002.e4-bwa

Round 2023

Round 27 of 30 in simulation 29 of Botswana, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 3 actions, and the index +0.009 to 8.81.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2023 (the end of 2022) and as it left it.

Capability index: 8.81 (+0.009); In: 8.80
Rank by index: 62; In: 62
Domains at Tier 1: 0; In: 0
Credits carried: 514; In: 466

Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
Domain	In	Out	Change	Tier
Critical Technology	1.27	1.27	−0.003	14
Strategic Infrastructure	11.11	11.10	−0.009	4
National Security	5.32	5.30	−0.015	8
Human Capital	11.26	11.31	+0.049	5
Information & Influence	7.27	7.27	+0.004	10
Governance & Integrity	13.56	13.56	−0.003	5
Financial Strength	11.23	11.26	+0.033	11
Production & Innovation	9.17	9.21	+0.034	10
Trade & Investment	9.04	9.04	−0.007	10

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2023: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 208, plus 466 carried in. Maintenance 148. Spent 12 on actions (build 12). 514 carried over.

BuildHealth System Capability4 credits for 0.16 levelsscripted_history
BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance4 credits for 0.16 levelsscripted_history
BuildEconomic Output & Productivity4 credits for 0.23 levelsscripted_history

The groups that moved most in 2023, and what moved them
Moved most	Change	Invested	Graph
Economic Output & Productivity	+0.23	+0.24	−0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance	+0.21	+0.16	+0.05
Technical & Vocational Skills	+0.18	+0.18	0.00
Advanced Education	+0.12	+0.12	0.00
Health System Capability	+0.11	+0.13	−0.03
Communications & Digital Infrastructure	+0.05	+0.05	0.00