Round 2 · simulation 11 · cycle-002.e4-eth

Round 1998

Round 2 of 30 in simulation 11 of Ethiopia, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Regional war spillover, and the index −0.508 to 5.46.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 1998 (the end of 1997) and as it left it.

Capability index
5.46 (−0.508)
In: 5.96
Rank by index
111
In: 97
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
0
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.482.16−0.32612
Strategic Infrastructure6.555.88−0.6749
National Security5.234.56−0.6768 → 9
Human Capital6.646.46−0.18713 → 14
Information & Influence6.706.42−0.27811
Governance & Integrity7.306.93−0.36916 → 17
Financial Strength6.816.13−0.67222 → 23
Production & Innovation5.705.15−0.54818 → 19
Trade & Investment6.255.41−0.84015 → 17

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 1998: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 114. Maintenance 91. Spent 24 on actions (build 24). 0 carried over. 5 actions could not be paid for.

  • BuildLand Power6 credits for 0.20 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildForce Generation & Mobilisation6 credits for 0.18 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildAir Power6 credits for 0.24 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildIntelligence & Assessment6 credits for 0.26 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildInternal Security & Order1 credits for 0.06 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −37.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. National Security Tier 8 to 9; Human Capital Tier 13 to 14; Governance & Integrity Tier 16 to 17; Financial Strength Tier 22 to 23; Production & Innovation Tier 18 to 19; Trade & Investment Tier 15 to 17.

The groups that moved most in 1998, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Economic Leverage & Dependence−1.320.000.00−1.320.00
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−1.290.000.00−1.290.00
Maritime Power−1.270.000.00−1.270.00
Strategic Strike & Missile Defence−1.220.000.00−1.220.00
Joint Command, Projection & Sustainment−1.190.000.00−1.190.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−1.140.000.00−1.140.00