Round 2011
Round 15 of 30 in simulation 11 of Ethiopia, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.540 to 3.71.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2011 (the end of 2010) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 3.71 (−0.540)
- In: 4.25
- Rank by index
- 155
- In: 136
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 1
- In: 11
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 1.43 | 1.17 | −0.258 | 13 → 15 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 4.42 | 3.76 | −0.663 | 12 |
| National Security | 4.08 | 3.83 | −0.256 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 5.57 | 5.11 | −0.465 | 15 → 16 |
| Information & Influence | 4.93 | 4.25 | −0.683 | 13 → 15 |
| Governance & Integrity | 6.08 | 5.69 | −0.386 | 19 |
| Financial Strength | 4.33 | 3.52 | −0.803 | 27 → 30 |
| Production & Innovation | 3.80 | 3.24 | −0.561 | 24 → 26 |
| Trade & Investment | 3.56 | 2.78 | −0.786 | 20 → 22 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2011: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 67, plus 11 carried in. Maintenance 59. Spent 17 on actions (build 17). 1 carried over.
- BuildEnergy Infrastructure3 credits for 0.17 levelsscripted_history
- BuildTransport Infrastructure3 credits for 0.16 levelsscripted_history
- BuildWater, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure3 credits for 0.17 levelsscripted_history
- BuildIndustrial & Sectoral Base3 credits for 0.21 levelsscripted_history
- BuildGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration3 credits for 0.18 levelsscripted_history
- Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −38.7 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 13 to 15; Human Capital Tier 15 to 16; Information & Influence Tier 13 to 15; Financial Strength Tier 27 to 30; Production & Innovation Tier 24 to 26; Trade & Investment Tier 20 to 22.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −1.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.34 | −0.01 |
| Monetary & Currency Capability | −1.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.20 | −0.01 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −1.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.18 | −0.01 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | −1.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.15 | −0.01 |
| Agriculture & Food Infrastructure | −1.00 | +0.05 | 0.00 | −1.01 | −0.04 |
| Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure | −0.99 | +0.08 | 0.00 | −1.04 | −0.04 |