Round 29 · simulation 11 · cycle-002.e4-eth

Round 2025

Round 29 of 30 in simulation 11 of Ethiopia, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 0 actions, and the index −0.027 to 1.78.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2025 (the end of 2024) and as it left it.

Capability index
1.78 (−0.028)
In: 1.81
Rank by index
192
In: 192
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
0
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology0.300.29−0.00922 → 24
Strategic Infrastructure1.541.51−0.03518
National Security1.961.90−0.06114
Human Capital3.483.44−0.04418
Information & Influence2.122.08−0.04222
Governance & Integrity4.194.17−0.02022
Financial Strength1.271.26−0.00642
Production & Innovation0.930.91−0.01837
Trade & Investment0.510.50−0.01027 → 28

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2025: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 13. Maintenance 13 of the 21 needed, so 39 per cent of every group went unmaintained and decayed. Nothing spent on actions. 0 carried over. 5 actions could not be paid for.

Earlier events still landing: +0.7 points this round.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 22 to 24; Trade & Investment Tier 27 to 28.

The groups that moved most in 2025, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Land Power−0.140.00−0.100.00−0.05
Force Generation & Mobilisation−0.130.00−0.110.00−0.01
Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations−0.120.00−0.040.00−0.08
Intelligence & Assessment−0.100.00−0.080.00−0.03
Communications & Digital Infrastructure−0.090.00−0.07+0.01−0.03
Alliances & Security Cooperation−0.080.00−0.06+0.01−0.03