Round 2002
Round 6 of 30 in simulation 21 of Ethiopia, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.677 to 4.77.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2002 (the end of 2001) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 4.77 (−0.676)
- In: 5.45
- Rank by index
- 122
- In: 111
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 18
- In: 9
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 2.14 | 1.73 | −0.409 | 12 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 5.84 | 4.97 | −0.862 | 9 → 11 |
| National Security | 4.74 | 4.42 | −0.312 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 6.45 | 5.88 | −0.576 | 14 |
| Information & Influence | 6.40 | 5.58 | −0.827 | 11 → 12 |
| Governance & Integrity | 6.92 | 6.45 | −0.473 | 17 → 18 |
| Financial Strength | 6.08 | 5.11 | −0.972 | 23 → 25 |
| Production & Innovation | 5.10 | 4.40 | −0.702 | 19 → 20 |
| Trade & Investment | 5.34 | 4.38 | −0.955 | 17 → 19 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2002: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 99, plus 9 carried in. Maintenance 80. Spent 10 on actions (build 10). 18 carried over.
- BuildAgriculture & Food Infrastructure2 credits for 0.09 levelsscripted_history
- BuildTransport Infrastructure2 credits for 0.10 levelsscripted_history
- BuildFoundational Education2 credits for 0.15 levelsscripted_history
- BuildPopulation Health2 credits for 0.13 levelsscripted_history
- BuildWater, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure2 credits for 0.10 levelsscripted_history
- Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −47.5 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 9 to 11; Information & Influence Tier 11 to 12; Governance & Integrity Tier 17 to 18; Financial Strength Tier 23 to 25; Production & Innovation Tier 19 to 20; Trade & Investment Tier 17 to 19.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −1.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.64 | −0.04 |
| Monetary & Currency Capability | −1.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.46 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −1.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.44 | −0.01 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | −1.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.40 | −0.01 |
| Energy Infrastructure | −1.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.33 | −0.02 |
| Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure | −1.27 | +0.05 | 0.00 | −1.30 | −0.02 |