Round 27 · simulation 29 · cycle-002.e4-eth

Round 2023

Round 27 of 30 in simulation 29 of Ethiopia, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 0 actions, Debt service reset, and the index −0.034 to 1.80.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2023 (the end of 2022) and as it left it.

Capability index
1.80 (−0.034)
In: 1.83
Rank by index
192
In: 192
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
0
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology0.330.32−0.01022
Strategic Infrastructure1.591.55−0.03814
National Security2.021.96−0.06614
Human Capital3.543.49−0.05218
Information & Influence2.172.12−0.05022
Governance & Integrity4.114.08−0.02822
Financial Strength1.261.25−0.00942
Production & Innovation0.950.92−0.03137
Trade & Investment0.500.48−0.01827

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2023: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 12. Maintenance 12 of the 22 needed, so 44 per cent of every group went unmaintained and decayed. Nothing spent on actions. 0 carried over. 5 actions could not be paid for.

  • Upside event: Debt service reset S11. +1.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
The groups that moved most in 2023, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Land Power−0.170.00−0.110.00−0.06
Force Generation & Mobilisation−0.130.00−0.120.00−0.01
Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations−0.130.00−0.050.00−0.08
Intelligence & Assessment−0.110.00−0.090.00−0.02
Alliances & Security Cooperation−0.100.00−0.07+0.01−0.04
Communications & Digital Infrastructure−0.100.00−0.08+0.01−0.03