Round 28 · simulation 29 · cycle-002.e4-eth

Round 2024

Round 28 of 30 in simulation 29 of Ethiopia, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 0 actions, and the index −0.029 to 1.77.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2024 (the end of 2023) and as it left it.

Capability index: 1.77 (−0.029); In: 1.80
Rank by index: 192; In: 192
Domains at Tier 1: 0; In: 0
Credits carried: 0; In: 0

Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
Domain	In	Out	Change	Tier
Critical Technology	0.32	0.30	−0.010	22
Strategic Infrastructure	1.55	1.52	−0.037	14 → 18
National Security	1.96	1.90	−0.061	14
Human Capital	3.49	3.44	−0.044	18
Information & Influence	2.12	2.08	−0.045	22
Governance & Integrity	4.08	4.06	−0.025	22
Financial Strength	1.25	1.25	−0.007	42
Production & Innovation	0.92	0.90	−0.020	37
Trade & Investment	0.48	0.47	−0.011	27 → 28

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2024: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 13. Maintenance 13 of the 21 needed, so 41 per cent of every group went unmaintained and decayed. Nothing spent on actions. 0 carried over. 5 actions could not be paid for.

Earlier events still landing: +0.7 points this round.

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 14 to 18; Trade & Investment Tier 27 to 28.

The groups that moved most in 2024, and what moved them
Moved most	Change	Decay	Events	Graph
Land Power	−0.15	−0.10	0.00	−0.05
Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations	−0.12	−0.04	0.00	−0.08
Force Generation & Mobilisation	−0.12	−0.11	0.00	−0.01
Intelligence & Assessment	−0.10	−0.09	0.00	−0.02
Alliances & Security Cooperation	−0.10	−0.06	+0.01	−0.04
Communications & Digital Infrastructure	−0.09	−0.07	+0.01	−0.03